BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024

East Carolina 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.70 26.70 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 379.93 379.93 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.70 5.70 (+0.00)

East Carolina 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 29.18 29.77 (+0.58) 14.91 12.59 (-2.32) 12.59 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 448.73 451.66 (+2.94) 264.45 257.20 (-7.26) 257.20 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 6.41 6.35 (-0.07) 4.23 3.90 (-0.33) 3.90 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 28.55 28.94 (+0.40) 24.45 27.17 (+2.72) 27.17 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 411.64 420.98 (+9.34) 359.00 392.24 (+33.24) 392.24 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 6.24 6.35 (+0.12) 5.56 6.01 (+0.45) 6.01 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.3

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-09-02 @Michigan 0.97 46.65 +45.68 47.62 0.10% L 3-30 0-1
2023-09-09 Marshall 18.16 22.07 +3.90 40.23 43.74% L 13-31 0-2
2023-09-16 @Appalachian State 16.98 33.85 +16.87 50.83 22.94% L 28-43 0-3
2023-09-23 Gardner-Webb Non-FBS Opponent W 44-0 1-3
2023-09-30 @Rice 17.11 28.67 +11.56 45.78 31.46% L 17-24 1-4
2023-10-12 SMU 11.60 35.06 +23.46 46.66 12.37% L 10-31 1-5
2023-10-21 Charlotte 19.92 12.32 -7.60 32.24 62.19% L 7-10 1-6
2023-10-28 @UT San Antonio 14.10 28.35 +14.25 42.46 27.14% L 27-41 1-7
2023-11-04 Tulane 10.81 20.51 +9.71 31.32 34.43% L 10-13 1-8
2023-11-11 @Florida Atlantic 15.62 20.22 +4.60 35.84 42.62% W 22-7 2-8
2023-11-18 @Navy 12.78 13.77 +0.99 26.54 48.41% L 0-10 2-9
2023-11-25 Tulsa 23.73 19.41 -4.32 43.14 56.92% L 27-29 2-10

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
2-10 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
0-12 0.00%
1-11 0.59%
2-10 4.47%
3-9 13.25%
4-8 23.58%
5-7 26.46%
6-6 19.21%
7-5 9.04%
8-4 2.84%
9-3 0.51%
10-2 0.06%
11-1 0.00%